The suggestion that there’s been a Conservative to Labour shift amongst women

There has been discussion that there has been a radical shift in women changing their vote towards Labour, from the Theresa May fronted Conservatives. This is fascinating and may well be true, however the YouGov data below asserts otherwise.

Data from:

Opinium/Observer; fieldwork Feb 6-8; sample 2002
YouGov, fieldwork Feb 5-6; sample 2000
ICM, fieldwork Feb 2-4; sample 2021

On social media it was apparent that there was a massive shift in the views of 18 – 40 women, perhaps this is where the shift is occurring, but made up by higher age cohorts preference for the Conservatives.

YouGov, who produced the shocking accurate poll showing the Hung Parliament, is showing very different gender splits from ICM and Opinium. It might be that YouGov is supported by other polling but at the moment there’s nothing to reinforce this.

Has there been movement as described? Maybe, but more evidence is required.

 

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