Tristan Hotham
Question

Did Brexit boost Eurosceptic parties on Facebook across Europe?

Answered by Dr Tristan Hotham, researcher on social media, campaigns and politics, from his own published research.

Short answer

No sign of it. After the 2016 referendum, posts mentioning Brexit or the UK rose to about 9% of posts on party and leader pages in 19 other European countries, but equally for Eurosceptic and other pages, and Eurosceptic pages drew no extra engagement relative to their rivals.

What the evidence shows

Caveats

The March 2019 estimate does not survive clustering by country or adjustment for testing both outcomes, coincides with the European Parliament campaign, and came without more posts about Brexit.

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